Euro 2016 – update 3

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Group B finished. Here are the results:

Russia vs Wales: 0-3
Slovakia vs England: 0-0

Here’s how the numbers currently propagate to the Round of 16 and then to the Quarter Finals.

Round of 16



Quarter Finals

For the Quarter Finals the uncertainty is larger. The teams from groups A and B that already qualified are naturally over-represented because they are in every possible path in the round of 16, so have a 50% chance of showing up in the Quarter Finals.